Bitcoin Price Prepares to Test $8K After Bull Breather
Originally published on: CoinDesk
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July 19, 2018
Bitcoin’s (BTC) refresher pause has likely set the tone for the next leg higher in prices.
The leading cryptocurrency has spent a better part of the last 15 hours trading the $7,240–$7,440 trading range, having clocked a 40-day high of $7,588 at 18:00 UTC yesterday.
Moreover, BTC was looking overbought at multi-week highs, hence a minor correction was expected.
More importantly, the price pullback and the subsequent consolidation, when viewed against the backdrop of the high volume inverse head-and-shoulders breakout, indicates that BTC has likely gathered steam for a more sustainable rally towards $8,000.
At press time, BTC is changing hands at $7,400 on Bitfinex – up 0.20 percent on a 24-hour basis.
BTC rally has stalled in the last 24 hours. Still, the bias remains bullish as the cryptocurrency is holding well above the inverse head-and-shoulders neckline support (former resistance) of $6,838.
The relative strength index (RSI) is hovering above 50.00 (in the bullish territory).
The short-term moving averages (MA) (5-day, 10-day) are trending north, indicating a bullish setup. The chart also shows a bullish crossover between 5-day and 50-day MA.
What’s more, the Bollinger Bands (standard deviation of +2, -2 on the 20-day MA) are beginning to rise in favor of the bulls and the upper Bolliger Band is offering support to BTC price.
Clearly, bitcoin remains on the hunt for $8,000 and the short duration chart indicates the move could happen in the next 48 hours.
The Bollinger Bands narrowed at 00:00 UTC yesterday, meaning the volatility (as represented by the gap between the Bollinger Bands) has remained low for more than 24 hours.
As a result, we could in for a big move in either direction as an extended period of low volatility is often followed by a period of high volatility.
That said, the big move will likely happen on the higher side as the RSI is beginning to rise, after having built a base around 46.00 in the last 15 hours.
Meanwhile, the major moving averages (50-hour, 100-hour and 200-hour) have caught up with rising prices, which indicates BTC markets are no longer overstretched. The averages are located one below the other, indicating the path of least resistance is to the upside.
- Bitcoin’s price pullback has likely recharged the engines for a rally to $8,000 and the psychological resistance could be put to test in the next 48 hours.
- The short-term outlook remains bullish as long as BTC is trading above the inverse head-and-shoulders neckline of $6,838.
- Deeper technical correction, if it occurs, could be short-lived as the daily chart and the hourly chart is biased towards the bulls.
Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.
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